研究了空中进攻作战信息优势转化评价问题。首先, 界定作战节点、信息流、交战程序链等相关概念, 阐述了空中进攻作战的一般过程; 其次, 给出三参数Vague值表示方法, 分析了GERT网络的节点和传输矢线, 建立了空中进攻交战程序链评价的V-GERT网络模型; 然后, 结合信息流动特性, 应用梅森公式, 得出了交战程序链的信息优势转化概率计算方法。最后, 结合案例对空中进攻交战程序链进行评价, 验证了模型的可行性与有效性。研究结果可为空中进攻作战体系的设计与优化提供决策依据。

This paper focuses on Aerial Offensive Operations (AOO) information superiority transformation evaluation. Firstly, the concepts of operational node, information flow and Fire Procedure Link (FPL) are defined, and general process of aerial offensive operations is elaborated. Secondly, representation method of three-parameter Vague value is given, GERT network's nodes and transmission line are analyzed, and then GERT network model of AOO-FPL evaluation is built up. Thirdly, according to information flowing characteristics, computation method of FPL information superiority transformation probability is gained by applying Mason's Formula. Finally, AOO-FPL is evaluated by using a case, and the result verifies the feasibility and effectiveness of the model, which can provide a decision-making basis for AOO operational systems' design and optimization.