光学学报, 2023, 43 (6): 0601002, 网络出版: 2023-03-13  

基于集成学习的FY-4A云底高度反演方法 下载: 685次

Cloud Base Height Retrieval Methods for FY-4A Based on Ensemble Learning
作者单位
1 国防科技大学气象海洋学院,湖南 长沙 410000
2 中国气象局国家卫星气象中心,北京 100081
摘要
云底高度是地气系统辐射收支以及飞行安全的重要影响因素。介绍了利用FY-4A卫星的数据产品反演云底高度的方法,设计了两种云底高度反演方案:第一种方案先将云划分为卷云(Ci)、高层云(As)、高积云(Ac)、层云/层积云(St/Sc)、积云(Cu)、雨层云(Ns)、深对流云(Dc)和多层云(Multi)等8种云类型,再分别采用独立的集成学习模型反演这8类云的云底高度;第二种方案不区分云的类型,采用统一的集成学习模型反演云底高度。将CloudSat探测的云底高度作为参考值,以129515个样本对两种方案进行评估,结果表明方案一的反演模型效果更好,均方根误差(RMSE)为1304.7 m,平均绝对误差(MAE)为898.4 m,相关系数(R)为0.9214。
Abstract
Objective

Cloud base height (CBH) is a crucial cloud parameter affecting the water cycle and radiation budget of the earth-atmosphere system. Additionally, CBH has a great impact on aviation safety. Low CBH often leads to a decrease in visibility, which poses a great threat to flight safety. Therefore, it is meaningful to acquire accurate CBH for related scientific research and meteorological services. It is valuable but challenging to use satellite passive remote sensing data to retrieve CBH. Some cloud products such as cloud top height (CTH) and cloud optical thickness (COT) are often used in previous research, related to CBH retrieval, from which two ideas to retrieve CBH can be summarized. The first idea employed independent methods to obtain CBH of different types of clouds respectively, and the second one directly retrieves CBH using cloud products of satellites without regarding cloud types. At present, there is no CBH products of FY-4A. Therefore, a CBH retrieval method for FY-4A is introduced in this paper. According to the two ideas mentioned above, two schemes of CBH retrieval are designed, which are compared to find more suitable ideas to retrieve CBH for FY-4A and to provide reference for subsequent development of FY-4A CBH products.

Methods

A CBH retrieval method based on ensemble learning is proposed in this paper. CTH, COT, and cloud effective radius (CER) from FY-4A are used. Additionally, CBH and cloud types from CloudSat are employed for their widely recognized data quality. First, data of FY-4A and CloudSat are matched spatiotemporally and are divided into training data, validation data, and test data. Second, CBH retrieval models are built based on two ensemble learning algorithms, random forest (RF), and gradient boosting tree (GBT). Two schemes of CBH retrieval are designed in this paper. In the first scheme, matched data are divided into eight types according to the eight cloud types of CloudSat. For each type of cloud, two retrieval models are built based on RF and GBT using training data and validation data through ten-fold cross validation. The optimal model is selected according to the models' results on test data. In the second scheme, retrieval models are built without regarding cloud types. Training data of the eight cloud types are combined together. Validation data and test data are processed similarly. The three data sets are used to obtain the RF model and GBT model, and to select the optimal retrieval model. Finally, the optimal scheme and model of CBH retrieval for FY-4A are selected according to the models' performance.

Results and Discussions

Root mean squared error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), correlation coefficient (R), and mean relative error (MRE) are used to evaluate models' performance. In the first scheme, the GBT model is the optimal retrieval model for Cirrus (Ci), Altostratus (As), and Altostratus (Ac). RF model is the optimal retrieval model for Stratus/Stratocumulus (St/Sc), Cumulus (Cu), Nimbostratus (Ns), deep convective cloud (Dc), and multilayer cloud (Multi). In the second scheme, the GBT model is the optimal retrieval model. The models of the two schemes are compared on test data with 129515 samples. Overall, the retrieval model of the first scheme outperforms that of the second scheme. Specifically, RMSE of the model in the first scheme is 1304.7 m. MAE is 898.3 m, R is 0.9214, and MRE is 63.93%. For the eight types of clouds, RMSE, MAE, R, and MRE of the model in the first scheme are also superior to those of the model in the second scheme. Although the first scheme can obtain better results, the retrieval model of the first scheme still needs to be improved in the future. For example, the performance of the retrieval model for Dc is not a patch on that of other types of clouds. Additionally, the paper discusses how to apply the proposed method to practice. First, level 1 data (i.e. reflectance and brightness temperature) and level 2 data (i.e. CTH, COT, and CER) of FY-4A can be used to acquire the eight cloud types according to a cloud type classification model proposed by Yu et al. Second, according to the cloud type classification results, the retrieval models of the first scheme can be adopted to retrieve CBH for the eight types of clouds respectively.

Conclusions

CBH is a critical cloud parameter, but there are no CBH products of geostationary meteorological satellites currently. Thus, a CBH retrieval method for FY-4A based on ensemble learning is introduced in this paper. Two schemes of CBH retrieval are designed, and corresponding CBH retrieval models are built based on two ensemble learning algorithms, namely, RF and GBT. Data of CTH, COT, and CER from FY-4A are used in this paper. The first scheme employs eight independent models to retrieve CBH for eight types of clouds (i.e. Ci, As, Ac, St/Sc, Cu, Ns, Dc, and Multi) respectively. Specifically, for Ci, As, and Ac, the GBT model is used to retrieve CBH. For the other five types of cloud, the RF model is used to retrieve CBH. The second scheme uses a GBT model to retrieve CBH without regarding cloud types. CBH from CloudSat is used to evaluate the results of the two schemes, and the retrieval model of the first scheme outperforms that of the second scheme. For the eight types of clouds, the retrieval model of the first scheme also obtains better results.

余茁夫, 王雅, 马烁, 艾未华, 严卫. 基于集成学习的FY-4A云底高度反演方法[J]. 光学学报, 2023, 43(6): 0601002. Zhuofu Yu, Ya Wang, Shuo Ma, Weihua Ai, Wei Yan. Cloud Base Height Retrieval Methods for FY-4A Based on Ensemble Learning[J]. Acta Optica Sinica, 2023, 43(6): 0601002.

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